Automakers are expected to produce 2.93 million cars and trucks in North America during the first three months of 2010, up from 1.73 million in the year-earlier period, according to the Detroit Free Press.
The newspaper, which cites a forecast from Ward’s AutoInfoBank, says the increase reflects optimism that auto demand is gradually reviving. The swing is especially sharp because a year ago many automakers were shuttering plants for weeks at a time to shrink bloated inventories.
Ward’s says carmakers held an average 52-day supply of new vehicles at the end of 2009 vs. 92 days a year earlier. A supply of 60-65 days is considered ideal.
Toyota plans to hike North American output 113% to 318,100 vehicles in the quarter, the Free Press says. Ford and General Motors plan to more than double production, and Chrysler is boosting output by 92%.
Most forecasters predict U.S. auto sales of roughly 11.5 million-12 million units this year, compared with a 27-year low of 10.4 million in 2009. Even as unemployment keeps consumers wary, some will need to replace aging vehicles, analysts say.